Trap Time

Now I had never been one for divine intervention or guardian angels or any of that shit until one day a few years ago. I was walking out of my house and the first thing I noticed was a big ass Golden Retreiver on a leach being walked by a kid that could not have been more than three years old. You couldn't miss it, it was a beautiful thing, his parents were right behind him pushing a stroller and talking over coffee and for that moment, everything seemed perfect. It was literally how you picture what rich families do with their mornings.

It didn't last long though because at about the time I was noticing this suburban dream, the dog saw something across the street and darted after it dragging the little boy about ten feet before he wisely let go of the leash. The dog came close to making it to the other side of the street before he got drilled by a brand new Toyota Camry that was going way too fast to be in a residential area. I yelled at cars all the time for going this fast down our street for this very reason. It was bound to happen one day and today was that day.

The dog exploded on impact and clearly was no longer with us but what surprised me most was how bad it fucked up the Camry. That thing put a huge dent in the front bumper and it made me wonder if something like that was even covered by insurance or does the driver have to come out of pocket? At exactly that moment, it hit me that I had received a notice a few days prior about paying my car insurance which seemed serious but I was high at the time so I let it go. I bolted back into the house, hit the insurance website and in red letters on the opening page, it said that my insurance was going to lapse that afternoon at 5 pm. 

It really was as if someone or something was watching over me. I have never in my life seen a dog get mangled like that yet the one day I did, it was for a good cause. Had that not happened, my car insurance would have surely lapsed and I set up auto pay so no more dogs would have to get whacked. I went outside to tell the family the good news and thank them, but by then the cops were there and they seemed busy.

Well, you are having a moment just like that right now because I am your guardian angel if you are thinking of playing the Warriors -7 tonight. You probably were just about to bet them before you got this message! They are the better team and they should win the series, but tonight they are a trap. The line has moved from -8 to -7 even though 59% of the early wagers have been on them.

Can they cover? Yes, but I think this will be a sweat it out type game that will have you wondering why the fuck you even bet the side at all. Neither team is a good bet as I think the final will come near the number. 

I do have a way I am betting this one though and you would be smart to follow. All you have to do is buy the play by clicking the blue button that says Pay Here below! Easy shit! What happens if you buy this play and I lose? You're fucked right? No way Jose, if you buy this and it loses, I will keep emailing you plays until you have seen a profit including what you paid for the pick! Let's EAT!

Another Trap

When I was a kid, entertainment was different.  The Internet was in it's infancy and the best video game system was Sega.  The point is, we had to get creative.  One activity I enjoyed was shooting people with my pellet gun, especially when they were not expecting it.  It is tough to beat the squeal of an unsuspecting human being enduring the pain of a pellet gun shot to the gut.

One guy I liked to shoot was a buddy of mine named, Fat John.  Fat John was one fat bastard and to be honest, that made him fun to pick on since there really was not much he could do about it.  My favorite "Fat John" prank, was the one where we would climb to the roof and wait for his school bus to drop him off.  When he got off the bus, me and two other friends would light him up with our pellet guns.  It was magic, if I could go back and do it all over again, I would.

Besides, being fat, Fat John was also not too smart.  There are numerous examples I could cite but you can just take my word for it.  You see, Fat John didn't even know he was being shot when he got off the bus each time.  He though he was being stung by bees so when he exited the bus each day, he would get off and flail his arms around as if he were keeping the bees away.  On the days that we didn't feel like climbing to the roof, we would just watch from the window because he looked like a fucking idiot.

As the weeks went by, Fat John tried everything from swinging his arms wildly, to spraying himself with Off Bug spray to keep the bees from stinging him but nothing seemed to work for him.  He literally kept getting "stung by bees" every now and then when he got off the bus and it didn't stop until the cops took our pellet guns away for an unrelated window incident.  That was a sad day for all of us, except Fat John.

Sports betting, like getting shot with a pellet gun, can make you do some stupid shit if you don't get all the information you need, process it correctly and proceed from there.  Common sense should have told Fat John he was not being stung by bees and he should have been weary when the only time we asked him how his day went was on the days he got stung by bees.  Just like you should be weary of the Golden State Warriors +3.5 in Game 3.  It's a trap.

The early bettors are usually the sharpest in my opinion and the fact that they have moved the line to -4 at some shops should be concerning to Golden State backers given the fact that only 29% of the early wagers have come in on the Rockets.  My theory is that the books know that the squares are going to come in and bet the Warriors no matter what so why give them anymore than 3 points?  I have this line at Houston -5 so you are still getting value on them a day after the line has been released.

My advice if you like the Warriors is to stay off of the side and bet the total if you must bet the game. You may not have know about the line moves before reading this, but now that you do, you should alter your approach.  Do you think if Fat John would have known he was getting shot with a pellet gun, he would still sprayed himself with Off everyday?  Of course not.  Good luck and enjoy the game.